Updated
Updated · WESH 2 Orlando · Aug 8
NHC Tracks 2 Atlantic Disturbances as West Africa Wave's 7-Day Odds Rise to 40%
Updated
Updated · WESH 2 Orlando · Aug 8

NHC Tracks 2 Atlantic Disturbances as West Africa Wave's 7-Day Odds Rise to 40%

3 articles · Updated · WESH 2 Orlando · Aug 8

Summary

  • A tropical wave expected off West Africa on Tuesday now carries a 40% chance of forming within seven days, up from 30% earlier Saturday, while its 48-hour odds remain near 0%.
  • The National Hurricane Center said gradual development could begin after the wave emerges from Africa, with a tropical depression possible in the second half of next week as it moves west across the eastern and central Atlantic.
  • A second disturbance a few hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands remains less likely to organize, holding at 20% over seven days and near 0% over 48 hours.
  • Upper-level winds may briefly allow that central Atlantic system to strengthen early to midweek, but conditions are expected to turn less favorable later as it approaches the Lesser Antilles.

Insights

Could this seemingly harmless African storm suddenly wake up and threaten the coast as the August peak approaches?
With Saharan dust suppressing storms now, what happens if this hostile Atlantic shield collapses before September?