NOAA Cuts 2026 Atlantic Hurricane Outlook to 7-13 Storms as El Niño Strengthens
Updated
Updated · WESH 2 Orlando · Aug 6
NOAA Cuts 2026 Atlantic Hurricane Outlook to 7-13 Storms as El Niño Strengthens
3 articles · Updated · WESH 2 Orlando · Aug 6
Summary
NOAA lowered its 2026 Atlantic forecast while keeping a below-normal outlook, now projecting 7-13 named storms, 2-6 hurricanes and 0-2 major hurricanes.
El Niño, which emerged in the equatorial Pacific in June, is expected to suppress Atlantic activity by increasing wind shear that disrupts storm formation and intensification.
Two named storms have formed so far: Arthur brought record rainfall to parts of Louisiana and spawned Gulf Coast tornadoes, while Bertha made landfall in St. Bernard Parish, Louisiana.
NOAA also cited near-average Atlantic temperatures and a neutral West African monsoon as lesser influences, reinforcing expectations for a quieter second half of the season.