ECMWF Sees 70%-100% Odds California Lands in Wettest 20% of Winters
Updated
Updated · CBS New York · Aug 7
ECMWF Sees 70%-100% Odds California Lands in Wettest 20% of Winters
3 articles · Updated · CBS New York · Aug 7
Summary
Daniel Swain said ECMWF now points to a “genuinely extraordinary to extreme” El Niño, with 70%-100% odds California gets above-average precipitation this winter.
Those same forecasts give 70%-100% odds that December through February ranks in the top 20% of the state’s wettest winters on record, raising flood concerns after an exceptionally hot summer.
Southern California coastal residents are already uneasy after recent King Tides brought dangerous surf and damaged berms and other shoreline protections in some cities.
NOAA has said the event could rank among the largest El Niños since 1950; the pattern typically makes the southern U.S. stormier, leaves parts of the Midwest drier and keeps the North warmer than normal.