Updated
Updated · Daily Sabah · Aug 3
Türkiye's July Inflation Cools to 31.75% as Monthly CPI Accelerates to 1.78%
Updated
Updated · Daily Sabah · Aug 3

Türkiye's July Inflation Cools to 31.75% as Monthly CPI Accelerates to 1.78%

3 articles · Updated · Daily Sabah · Aug 3

Summary

  • 31.75% annual inflation in July marked Türkiye's second straight monthly slowdown from 32.1% in June, with both the yearly and 1.78% monthly readings coming in below market expectations.
  • Several non-food categories drove the downside surprise, offsetting pressure from unprocessed food and administered prices after energy costs rose on renewed U.S.-Iran hostilities, according to ING and Vice President Cevdet Yılmaz.
  • Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels rose 40.32% year over year, food and non-alcoholic beverages 37.53%, and transportation 30.83%; food made the biggest contribution to headline inflation at 8.94 percentage points.
  • Producer prices also eased, with July PPI at 1.5% month on month and 27.8% annually, though ING said oil and other commodity prices still pose the main risk to the inflation outlook.
  • The data support Finance Minister Mehmet Şimşek's claim that service-price rigidity is easing, but they leave inflation well above the central bank's upgraded 24% end-2026 forecast after the Iran war.

Insights

Has Turkey’s inflation problem become more about housing shortages and energy risks than interest rates alone can fix?
Why does inflation feel worse in Istanbul than nationwide, even as the official rate falls to a three-month low?