Updated
Updated · Mississippi Free Press · Nov 6
Scott Colom Flips Forrest County by 10 Points as Mississippi Senate Race Stays Tight
Updated
Updated · Mississippi Free Press · Nov 6

Scott Colom Flips Forrest County by 10 Points as Mississippi Senate Race Stays Tight

3 articles · Updated · Mississippi Free Press · Nov 6

Summary

  • With 97% of votes counted in Forrest County, Scott Colom led Cindy Hyde-Smith 54%-44%, flipping a county long carried by Republicans.
  • That result marked a 29-point Democratic swing from 2024, when Donald Trump won Forrest County 58%-40%, underscoring how sharply the county moved in the Senate race.
  • Forrest County includes majority-Black Hattiesburg and the University of Southern Mississippi, giving Colom a base in a county whose politics have shifted around voting-rights and Confederate-symbol fights.
  • Statewide, Colom was already holding a narrow lead in a race that remained too close to call; a win would make him Mississippi's first Black U.S. senator since 1881.

Insights

How will the five-day mail ballot window and affidavit curing process determine the final outcome of this historically tight race?
What statistical models can accurately predict the outcome of an election with a 50-vote margin and 50,000 outstanding ballots?