Updated
Updated · Reuters · Nov 1
OPEC+ Holds December Output Targets Steady as Brent Nears $118 on Iran War Disruptions
Updated
Updated · Reuters · Nov 1

OPEC+ Holds December Output Targets Steady as Brent Nears $118 on Iran War Disruptions

3 articles · Updated · Reuters · Nov 1

Summary

  • Seven core OPEC+ members left December production targets unchanged at a Sunday online meeting, signaling no further policy shift before the full 21-country group meets on Nov. 29.
  • Most Gulf producers are still pumping below their raised targets because the Iran war has disrupted exports for months, even as the group finished unwinding a 1.65 million-bpd cut in September.
  • A fourth-quarter capacity review, now expected by mid-November, will help set 2027 baselines and determine how OPEC+ handles another roughly 2 million bpd of cuts that run through end-2026.
  • Brent settled near $118 a barrel on Friday after a more than 2% jump, while analysts and the IEA warn OPEC+ could face excess supply in 2027 if Gulf flows normalize.

Insights

With OPEC+ holding output steady amid the Iran war, could a sudden 2027 supply glut crash global oil markets?
Will the urgent capacity review by mid-November expose dangerously low spare oil capacity, sending energy prices skyrocketing?