Talarico Leads Paxton 47%-45% in 3rd Texas Senate Poll in 1 Week
Updated
Updated · USA TODAY · Aug 4
Talarico Leads Paxton 47%-45% in 3rd Texas Senate Poll in 1 Week
3 articles · Updated · USA TODAY · Aug 4
Summary
A Texas Southern University poll of 1,200 likely voters found James Talarico at 47% and Ken Paxton at 45%, with 2% backing Libertarian Ted Brown and 5% undecided.
The 2-point edge sits within the survey's ±2.83-point margin of error, but it is the third poll in seven days to show Talarico ahead in the Texas Senate race.
Those recent surveys showed a consistent pattern: Fox News had Talarico up 51%-48% on July 30, while Texas Public Opinion Research put him ahead 45%-40% on July 28.
The latest poll points to sharp demographic splits, with Talarico leading Black voters 79%-12%, Latino voters 57%-38% and women 55%-38%, while Paxton leads white voters 53%-39% and men 53%-39%.
Party loyalty also appears less solid for Paxton: 97% of Democrats back Talarico, compared with 85% of Republicans backing Paxton, leaving more GOP voters undecided or crossing over.