NHC Tracks 20% Gulf Disturbance as 10% Africa Wave Adds Florida Rain Risk
Updated
Updated · FOX 13 Tampa · Jul 15
NHC Tracks 20% Gulf Disturbance as 10% Africa Wave Adds Florida Rain Risk
3 articles · Updated · FOX 13 Tampa · Jul 15
Summary
A northeastern Gulf disturbance carries a 20% chance of development over the next seven days and could bring heavy rain and flooding risk to Florida starting Saturday.
The National Hurricane Center says the system has a 0% chance through the next two days, with any low pressure expected to form in the northeastern Gulf and move northeast between Saturday and next Wednesday.
Warm Gulf waters in the upper 80s to near 90 degrees may support organization, but land interaction, wind shear and dry air could still prevent a defined circulation from forming.
A second tropical wave off the Cabo Verde Islands has a 10% seven-day development chance, though forecasters say it is heading into less favorable conditions by the weekend.
Even without tropical-storm formation, the Gulf system is expected to spread tropical downpours and higher moisture across Florida and parts of the Southeast; if winds reach 39 mph, it would be named Bertha.