Updated
Updated · KPRC Click2Houston · Jun 27
NHC Flags 20% Florida Disturbance Risk as System Could Boost Gulf Coast Rain
Updated
Updated · KPRC Click2Houston · Jun 27

NHC Flags 20% Florida Disturbance Risk as System Could Boost Gulf Coast Rain

3 articles · Updated · KPRC Click2Houston · Jun 27

Summary

  • A tropical disturbance off Florida’s east coast has a 20% chance of developing over the next seven days, according to the National Hurricane Center.
  • A low-pressure system forming along a stalled front is driving the threat, though dry air and wind shear are expected to limit its chances of becoming a tropical storm or hurricane.
  • Westward steering flow around high pressure could still carry the system toward the Gulf Coast by midweek, raising rain chances even if it never strengthens.
  • If the disturbance organizes enough to earn a name, it would become Bertha, extending a run of homegrown early-season Atlantic development concerns.

Insights

With AI models predicting a storm, is the official forecast underestimating the Independence Day threat?
Could the rain needed to end Florida's drought instead bring devastating holiday weekend floods?