Democrats Open 9-Point Midterm Lead, Favored to Flip Senate as Trump's Approval Hits -23.4%
Updated
Updated · Yahoo! Voices · Oct 27
Democrats Open 9-Point Midterm Lead, Favored to Flip Senate as Trump's Approval Hits -23.4%
3 articles · Updated · Yahoo! Voices · Oct 27
Summary
Seven days before the 2026 midterms, polling averages show Democrats ahead by about 9 points on the generic congressional ballot, a margin large enough historically to signal a House takeover.
That edge has widened over the past month, and Democrats need only three House seats despite Republican-friendly redistricting in several Southern states.
Senate polling has also shifted toward Democrats, with the party now seen as favored to gain the four seats needed for control while solidifying leads in Michigan, Georgia and New Hampshire.
Trump's standing is adding to Republican risk: 60.4% disapprove of his job performance versus 37% approve, and his 71%-25% deficit on inflation is even worse.
The combination of a wave-sized House ballot lead, improving Senate map and deeply negative presidential ratings points to a potential broad backlash against Trump's first two years.