Democrats Lead by 9 Points in Midterm Polls as Trump's Approval Sinks to 32%
Updated
Updated · The Guardian · Oct 6
Democrats Lead by 9 Points in Midterm Polls as Trump's Approval Sinks to 32%
3 articles · Updated · The Guardian · Oct 6
Summary
Thirty days before the midterms, new polls show Democrats ahead in the races most likely to decide Congress, deepening Republican fears despite heavy GOP spending and campaign travel by Trump and JD Vance.
New York Times/Siena surveys put Democratic Senate candidates ahead in Alaska, Ohio and Texas, with Kansas tied and Iowa close, while Democrats need four seats to retake the chamber.
A CBS News/YouGov poll gave Democrats a 9-point generic-ballot edge for the House, and Reuters/Ipsos found independents backing them by 16 points.
Trump's 32% approval rating — the lowest of his career in Reuters/Ipsos polling — is seen as a major drag alongside frustration over prices, Iran tensions and hardline immigration enforcement.
The shift is especially notable among Hispanic voters: Reuters/Ipsos found only 26% planning to back Republicans versus 52% for Democrats, a trend that could blunt GOP gains in Texas and other Latino-heavy districts.
Will record-breaking billions poured into streaming ads rewrite the historical rules of midterm elections this November?
As voters prioritize inflation and emerging tech concerns, could shifting suburban demographics completely upend traditional congressional forecasting models?