Updated
Updated · ING Think · Sep 24
US 10-Year Yield Nears 5.2% as Higher Real Rates Keep Bond Selloff Intact
Updated
Updated · ING Think · Sep 24

US 10-Year Yield Nears 5.2% as Higher Real Rates Keep Bond Selloff Intact

3 articles · Updated · ING Think · Sep 24

Summary

  • 5.2% is now within reach for the US 10-year Treasury yield after Wednesday’s jump above 5.1%, extending a selloff that followed weak 5-year and 7-year auctions.
  • Higher real yields are driving the move more than inflation expectations, with resilient US data, elevated energy prices and persistent price pressures keeping long-end rates under strain.
  • 4.1 billion dollars of Treasury buybacks in Thursday’s reverse auction helped contain swap spreads, but analysts say the support is only moderately positive and does not alter the bearish debt-supply backdrop.
  • Next week’s US payrolls, PCE and ISM data, along with eurozone flash CPI, are seen as the next major test for rates after this week’s level shift higher.

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