Updated
Updated · The Guardian · Sep 21
Houthis Push for Bab al-Mandab Heights as Trump Scraps Last-Minute US Strikes
Updated
Updated · The Guardian · Sep 21

Houthis Push for Bab al-Mandab Heights as Trump Scraps Last-Minute US Strikes

3 articles · Updated · The Guardian · Sep 21

Summary

  • Houthi fighters are advancing on mountain positions in Taiz that could sever Yemen’s Red Sea coast from Saudi-backed forces after Trump halted planned US airstrikes as bombs were reportedly being loaded.
  • Those heights would help secure Houthi rear areas near the Bab al-Mandab strait, open new fronts toward Aden and deepen the group’s grip after it already captured much of the Red Sea coastline, including Mocha.
  • 125,000 people have been displaced since the start of September, the UN says, with Taiz city alone taking in up to 86,000 as fighting intensifies around Al-Wazi’iyah and Ras al-Ara.
  • Saudi Arabia has launched hundreds of strikes on Houthi positions and repeatedly pressed Washington to intervene, but Trump again withheld a direct military commitment despite appeals from Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman and Yemen’s president.
  • The renewed Yemen front threatens an oil route Saudi Arabia uses to bypass Hormuz and adds to doubts in the Gulf over US security guarantees as Trump tries to avoid a wider war before midterm elections.

Insights

As Houthis seize strategic Red Sea islands, could their tightening grip on the Bab al-Mandeb strait permanently cripple global maritime trade?
With the 2022 truce shattered, will escalating Houthi missile strikes completely unravel the fragile Saudi-Iranian diplomatic rapprochement?
Beyond territorial gains, is the Houthi offensive a calculated move to weaponize the worsening humanitarian crisis against the international community?

The 2026 Bab el-Mandeb Crisis: Houthi Seizure, Global Oil Shock, and the Red Sea Chokepoint’s Humanitarian Fallout

Overview

In September 2026, the Iran-backed Houthis seized the key Red Sea port of Mocha, forcing government forces to abandon Perim Island and giving the Houthis direct control over the Bab el-Mandeb Strait. This triggered a sharp rise in global oil prices and forced shipping companies to reroute vessels around Africa, increasing costs and delays. The fractured anti-Houthi coalition and abandoned military hardware made the Houthi advance easier, while the resulting conflict displaced over 112,000 Yemenis, many fleeing to Djibouti. As naval forces shifted north, a security vacuum off East Africa led to a major resurgence of Somali piracy, further driving up global shipping and insurance costs.

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