SportsLine Sees Alabama Winning 33-20 as Florida State Covers +19.5 in Week 3
Updated
Updated · CBS Sports · Sep 17
SportsLine Sees Alabama Winning 33-20 as Florida State Covers +19.5 in Week 3
3 articles · Updated · CBS Sports · Sep 17
Summary
Alabama is projected to beat Florida State 33-20 at Bryant-Denny Stadium, but SportsLine's model makes the Seminoles the against-the-spread play with a 66% cover rate at +19.5.
The model, which simulates every FBS game 10,000 times, also gives the Over 48.5 a slight edge, clearing in 53% of simulations.
Alabama's line has climbed to -19.5 from an early -15.5 even though Florida State is coming off a bye after covering in its Week 1 loss to SMU.
That setup contrasts with Alabama's shorter turnaround after a 45-17 road win at Kentucky, a game the Crimson Tide trailed at halftime; Florida State also beat Alabama outright in Tallahassee last year.
The projection is part of SportsLine's full Week 3 card, which also highlights LSU as a 2.5-point road favorite at Ole Miss in one of the weekend's marquee games.