Updated
Updated · Westpac IQ · Sep 1
Australia's Q2 GDP Grows 0.4% as Annual Pace Slows to 2.1% and Labour Costs Rise
Updated
Updated · Westpac IQ · Sep 1

Australia's Q2 GDP Grows 0.4% as Annual Pace Slows to 2.1% and Labour Costs Rise

3 articles · Updated · Westpac IQ · Sep 1

Summary

  • Australia's economy expanded 0.4% in Q2, beating 0.3% forecasts, but annual growth slowed to 2.1% from 2.5% and six-month annualised growth eased to about 1.5%.
  • Domestic demand rose just 0.3%—its weakest quarterly gain since late 2023—as household spending stayed modest, business investment fell 0.5% after a Q1 data-centre surge, and public demand cooled.
  • A 0.6% rise in real household disposable income unexpectedly lifted the savings ratio, while consumers cut overseas travel by $2.7 billion and boosted motor-vehicle imports by a record $3.2 billion.
  • Flat productivity and slightly higher earnings pushed annual labour-cost growth to 3.6% from 3.2%, a combination likely to deepen RBA concern ahead of its September meeting despite softer demand.
  • Westpac said interest-rate-sensitive sectors and public spending should remain weak, with AI infrastructure, renewable energy and existing construction pipelines expected to cushion the slowdown.

Insights

With Australia's economy unexpectedly surging, will the RBA deliver a crushing rate hike to struggling households to tame sticky inflation?
As data centers and mining mask a retail profit collapse, is Australia's headline economic growth hiding a deeper domestic recession?