Updated
Updated · CGTN · Aug 28
US Stocks Fall as Warsh Lifts September Rate-Hike Odds to 57%
Updated
Updated · CGTN · Aug 28

US Stocks Fall as Warsh Lifts September Rate-Hike Odds to 57%

3 articles · Updated · CGTN · Aug 28

Summary

  • September rate-hike odds climbed to 57% after Fed Chair Kevin Warsh used his Jackson Hole keynote to stress that inflation remains the Fed's “predominant concern.”
  • July PCE inflation at 3.7% and core PCE at 3.3% reinforced that hawkish read, even as Warsh described the US economy as resilient and said the Fed would watch market internals and earnings.
  • US stocks closed lower Friday, with the S&P 500 down 0.25%, the Nasdaq off 0.52% and the Dow slipping 0.02%; technology and utilities led the declines.
  • Bond markets reacted more sharply, pushing short-term Treasury yields higher, while the University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index fell to 51.7 in August.
  • The market move extends a repricing that began earlier in Jackson Hole, when traders sharply raised expectations for a possible September Fed increase.

Insights

With job losses mounting, could the Fed's obsession with a 2% inflation target trigger a severe economic downturn this September?
As structural forces like AI keep inflation sticky, is the Federal Reserve's traditional rate-hike playbook finally becoming obsolete?