Updated
Updated · Naples Daily News · Aug 26
Invest 96L Holds 60% Formation Odds Near Cabo Verde as Weekend Conditions Threaten Development
Updated
Updated · Naples Daily News · Aug 26

Invest 96L Holds 60% Formation Odds Near Cabo Verde as Weekend Conditions Threaten Development

3 articles · Updated · Naples Daily News · Aug 26

Summary

  • A low-pressure area a few hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands could become a tropical depression within 1 to 2 days, with the National Hurricane Center keeping formation odds at 60% over both 48 hours and 7 days.
  • Showers and thunderstorms have changed little in organization, but conditions remain somewhat favorable as the system moves west to west-northwest near 20 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
  • Forecasters expect the environment to turn less conducive by the weekend, likely capping any strengthening; as of Aug. 26, the system is not expected to become a tropical storm or hurricane.
  • Dolly is the next Atlantic storm name if the system strengthens enough, while another disturbance, Invest 95L, has already weakened in hostile conditions.
  • The outlook comes during the busiest stretch of Atlantic hurricane season—mid-August to mid-October—even as Colorado State University projected a 70% chance of below-normal activity over the next two weeks.

Insights

Could Invest 96-L defy hostile El Niño winds and become the next named storm to threaten the coast?
What hidden atmospheric factors might allow this tropical wave to survive the impending dry air and wind shear?