Updated
Updated · TradingView · Aug 27
S&P 500 Futures Stall Near 7,731 as Warsh Speech Tests $500 Billion Tech Surge
Updated
Updated · TradingView · Aug 27

S&P 500 Futures Stall Near 7,731 as Warsh Speech Tests $500 Billion Tech Surge

3 articles · Updated · TradingView · Aug 27

Summary

  • S&P 500 futures were little changed Friday, with Nasdaq contracts off 0.1% and Dow futures slightly higher, as traders waited for Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s 10 a.m. ET Jackson Hole speech.
  • July headline PCE inflation accelerated to 3.7%, above the 3.6% expected, leaving markets to gauge whether Warsh validates pricing for a 35% chance of a September rate hike and 75% by December.
  • Thursday’s rally left the S&P 500 up 0.7% at 7,730.99 and near a record, but the advance was narrow: technology jumped 3.4%, Nvidia added about $456 billion in value and Salesforce another $37 billion.
  • Only 171 S&P 500 stocks rose and the equal-weighted index fell 0.2%, underscoring how vulnerable the benchmark could be if a hawkish message pushes the 10-year Treasury yield above its current 4.67% area.
  • Across markets, the dollar index held near 99.10, gold slipped 0.5% toward $4,575, Bitcoin stayed near $80,000 and Brent hovered around $90 while heading for a weekly drop of more than 5%.

Insights

With inflation stubbornly high despite plunging oil prices, will the upcoming PCE report trigger a shocking reversal in interest rate expectations?
As tech giants quietly build their own chips, could Nvidia's upcoming earnings reveal the beginning of the end for its AI monopoly?
Are investors blinding themselves to a looming semiconductor crash by chasing AI scarcity instead of actual broad market demand?