Updated
Updated · Yahoo Finance · Aug 23
SCHD Seen Reaching $90 by 2035 as Yield on Cost Tops 8%
Updated
Updated · Yahoo Finance · Aug 23

SCHD Seen Reaching $90 by 2035 as Yield on Cost Tops 8%

2 articles · Updated · Yahoo Finance · Aug 23

Summary

  • $35 SCHD could approach $90 a share by the end of 2035, with yield on cost rising from 3.1% to more than 8% if its historical growth rates hold.
  • 13.4% annualized total returns since 2011 and 11.2% compound dividend growth since 2017 underpin that projection, with the annual payout modeled to climb from $1.05 to above $2.90 per share.
  • The outlook depends on SCHD sustaining roughly 10% annual price gains and double-digit dividend growth, even though its current 100-stock portfolio has posted a slower 9.4% five-year dividend growth rate.
  • That gap is the main caveat: if dividend growth cools further, the fund would likely miss the projected 2035 income and price targets despite its long record of favoring high-yield companies with above-average growth.

Insights

Could SCHD's recent shift away from tech into defensive stocks accidentally cripple its projected path to an 8% yield on cost by 2035?
With its top 10 holdings consuming over 40% of assets, are investors secretly taking on dangerous concentration risk disguised as safe dividends?