Updated
Updated · robinhood.com · Aug 23
HYPE $80 Price Contract Trades at 66¢ as $81 Odds Fall to 16¢
Updated
Updated · robinhood.com · Aug 23

HYPE $80 Price Contract Trades at 66¢ as $81 Odds Fall to 16¢

3 articles · Updated · robinhood.com · Aug 23

Summary

  • HYPE’s Aug. 23, 2026 2 p.m. EDT prediction market priced an $80-or-higher outcome at 66 cents, while $81-or-higher traded at 16 cents and $100-or-higher at 0 cents.
  • The contract resolves against CF Benchmarks’ Real Time Index, using the average of 60 readings collected in the final minute before expiration rather than exchange quotes such as Google or Coinbase.
  • Winning contracts pay $1, and traders can exit before resolution; the market runs nearly 24 hours a day, pausing only Thursdays from 3 a.m. to 5 a.m. ET.
  • Robinhood Derivatives offers the event contracts through KalshiEX, ForecastEX or Rothera, with trading barred for source-agency employees and anyone holding material non-public information.

Insights

With massive fee-funded buybacks battling looming token unlocks, can HYPE shatter the $79 barrier before expiration?
As Robinhood's event contracts eclipse traditional crypto revenue, are binary derivatives the true future of retail speculation?