Super El Niño to Reshape U.S. Weather by Winter as Confidence Nears 100%

3 articles · Updated · Newsweek · Aug 20

AccuWeather said confidence is near 100% that a strengthening super El Niño will become the main driver of U.S. weather, with its clearest effects building from late fall into winter.
Late October to November could bring the first notable shifts: more rain and flooding risk from the Southwest through Texas to the Tennessee Valley, drier conditions in the Great Lakes and Upper Midwest, and severe weather in Florida and southern Georgia.
California and the southern tier are expected to turn wetter as storm tracks strengthen, while the northern U.S. often runs milder and parts of the Pacific Northwest drier during strong El Niño winters.
Snowfall prospects are mixed: California’s Sierra and Utah’s Wasatch could benefit from frequent storms, while Oregon, Montana, the northern Rockies, Great Lakes and Northeast may see below-average snow.
NOAA has separately said the event could reach its “very strong” category by winter, though forecasters caution El Niño is only one influence and individual storms can still break the seasonal pattern.