Social Security 2027 COLA Seen Rising 3.5%-3.6% as Tariffs and Iran War Lift Inflation
Updated
Updated · The Motley Fool · Aug 22
Social Security 2027 COLA Seen Rising 3.5%-3.6% as Tariffs and Iran War Lift Inflation
3 articles · Updated · The Motley Fool · Aug 22
Summary
A 3.4%-3.6% Social Security COLA is now projected for 2027, with estimates from The Senior Citizens League at 3.6% and analyst Mary Johnson at 3.4%.
Trump's renewed 10%-12.5% tariffs on more than 80 countries and the Iran war are driving the outlook by raising import, manufacturing and fuel costs; July CPI inflation was 3.4%.
That would extend a run of at least 2.5% annual benefit increases to six straight years, the first such streak since 1988-1997.
For retirees on traditional Medicare, the projected roughly 3.5% COLA could outpace a forecast 3.25% rise in Part B premiums to $209.50 a month, letting more of the increase reach beneficiaries.