Updated
Updated · The Guardian · Aug 7
FAO Food Price Index Hits 131.1 in July as Heatwaves and Wars Lift Crop Costs
Updated
Updated · The Guardian · Aug 7

FAO Food Price Index Hits 131.1 in July as Heatwaves and Wars Lift Crop Costs

3 articles · Updated · The Guardian · Aug 7

Summary

  • 131.1 points in July put the FAO food price index at its highest level since January 2023, extending a rise from 130.3 in June.
  • Cereals, sugar and vegetable oils drove the increase as heatwaves cut yields, Black Sea export disruptions lifted wheat costs, and biofuel demand strengthened sugar and edible oils.
  • Wheat prices climbed 5.8% and the broader cereals index rose 3.4%; Europe’s June heatwave is estimated to have wiped out 9 million tonnes of grain crops.
  • Sugar jumped 5.6% on EU weather fears, El Niño risks and Brazil’s higher ethanol blend, while vegetable oils gained 2% on Indonesian biodiesel demand and firmer crude oil prices.
  • Meat fell 2.8% and dairy slipped 0.7%, but the broader rise is likely to feed through to store shelves, with the WFP warning El Niño could push 50 million people into acute hunger by end-2027.

Insights

With extreme weather and conflict dominating headlines, are soaring hidden fertilizer costs the real trigger for a looming global food crisis?
As global grain harvests shrink and trade chokepoints close, how soon will this three-year commodity high empty your local grocery shelves?