Sabato Moves Ossoff to Likely Democrat in Georgia as 5 GOP House Seats Tighten
Updated
Updated · The Daily Beast · Jul 30
Sabato Moves Ossoff to Likely Democrat in Georgia as 5 GOP House Seats Tighten
2 articles · Updated · The Daily Beast · Jul 30
Summary
Sabato’s Crystal Ball shifted Jon Ossoff’s Georgia Senate race from “leans Democrat” to “likely Democrat,” a notable upgrade for the 39-year-old incumbent once seen as his party’s most vulnerable senator.
The move reflects a stronger-than-expected Democratic position in a state Trump has targeted heavily, with analyst Kyle Kondik saying an Ossoff loss by November would now be “a huge surprise.”
The same update also moved 5 Republican-held House seats into toss-up territory, bringing the total number of toss-up districts to 20 and adding to signs of a difficult midterm map for Republicans.
Those headwinds are tied to voter anger over affordability, the Iran war and Trump’s falling approval ratings, even as Republicans keep leaning on Trump to energize irregular voters.
Ossoff’s rise has been aided by prolific fundraising and high-profile confrontations with Trump officials, underscoring how a onetime Republican stronghold has become a more competitive battleground.