Updated
Updated · Yahoo Sports · Aug 5
Joel Smyth Backs No. 1 Pick for 2026 Fantasy Drafts, Favors 1.06 in 12-Team Leagues
Updated
Updated · Yahoo Sports · Aug 5

Joel Smyth Backs No. 1 Pick for 2026 Fantasy Drafts, Favors 1.06 in 12-Team Leagues

3 articles · Updated · Yahoo Sports · Aug 5

Summary

  • Jahmyr Gibbs at 1.01 is Joel Smyth’s top 2026 fantasy draft slot in all formats, with Bijan Robinson at 1.02 the preferred fallback.
  • Gibbs’ edge rests on his ceiling: in 2024 games without David Montgomery, he averaged 30.4 fantasy points, while Smyth also likes the Round 2-3 turn from the top spot.
  • In 12-team half-PPR leagues, Smyth also highlights 1.06 for balanced roster construction and access to top-tier RBs or WRs without forcing picks.
  • Late first-round slots—1.10 to 1.12 in 12-team leagues and 1.09 in 10-team formats—rank lower because the Round 2 edge is limited and Round 3 talent drops off more sharply.
  • PPR formats soften the disadvantage of picks 10-12, Smyth says, but 12-team picks 1.08 and 1.09 and middle slots in 10-team leagues still offer stronger value.

Insights

If Jahmyr Gibbs is the ultimate 2026 fantasy prize, what happens to his ceiling when David Montgomery is actually on the field?
Why might landing the final pick in your draft actually be a hidden advantage if you know which late-round sleepers to target?
Could the widespread obsession with drafting elite running backs early secretly make a zero-RB strategy the ultimate cheat code this season?