Updated
Updated · BBC.com · Aug 5
US Beef Prices Hit Record Highs, Up 12% as Cattle Herd Falls to Lowest Since 1951
Updated
Updated · BBC.com · Aug 5

US Beef Prices Hit Record Highs, Up 12% as Cattle Herd Falls to Lowest Since 1951

3 articles · Updated · BBC.com · Aug 5

Summary

  • US supermarket beef prices are 12% above a year ago, driven by the smallest national cattle herd since 1951 after drought and disease cut supply.
  • Record calf prices — about $2,500 for a 600-pound animal, up from $2,000 two years ago — are not lifting rancher profits because feed, fencing, trucks and water costs have also surged.
  • Feedlots and meatpackers are also being squeezed: Tyson said it lost more than $500 million on beef in the first half, while smaller plants report paying up to 60% more for cattle and running below capacity.
  • Restaurants have raised menu prices only so far — one Omaha burger rose to $11.95 from $8.95 — because consumers can switch to chicken or imported beef.
  • Relief is likely to be slow because rebuilding the herd takes years: a heifer needs about two years to produce a calf, and that calf roughly another year to reach slaughter weight.

Insights

If a shrinking cattle herd takes years to rebuild, will premium beef soon become a luxury only the wealthy can afford?
With beef prices hitting record highs but ranchers going broke, who is actually pocketing the profits in this broken supply chain?
Could the severe cattle shortage and closing meatpacking plants trigger the total collapse of America's independent ranching industry by 2027?