Updated
Updated · Business Insider · Aug 5
ProShares CIO Backs Quality Stocks and Tech as 2026 Cyclical Rally Nears Peak
Updated
Updated · Business Insider · Aug 5

ProShares CIO Backs Quality Stocks and Tech as 2026 Cyclical Rally Nears Peak

2 articles · Updated · Business Insider · Aug 5

Summary

  • Alessio de Longis said investors should shift toward quality stocks, technology, and defensive sectors as 2026 leadership in energy, industrials, and materials starts to fade.
  • Q2 and Q3 2025 GDP growth of 3.8% and 4.4%, rich 12-month forward earnings revisions, and weakening ISM manufacturing and services readings point to slower — but not recessionary — growth ahead, he said.
  • Technology is his preferred quality-heavy sector, with Nvidia, Apple, and Microsoft making up nearly 37% of XLK and also dominating the QUAL factor ETF.
  • He expects tame inflation and softer energy prices to keep short-end rates steady and pull long-end yields lower, a setup he says would support long-duration growth stocks and cheaper borrowing for tech firms.
  • To balance that exposure, he favors consumer staples, utilities, and healthcare, which typically hold up better when growth and interest rates both ease.

Insights

If U.S. growth is slowing but recession isn’t coming, are quality tech and defensive sectors the market’s next leaders?
Are quality ETFs and big tech already too crowded to benefit from a normal slowdown, or is this rotation just beginning?
Has the rally in energy, materials, and industrials peaked, or could cyclical stocks keep outperforming longer than investors expect?