Updated
Updated · The Guardian · Jul 30
Study Finds 78 Southern Black Belt Counties Shifted Left After GOP Redistricting Push
Updated
Updated · The Guardian · Jul 30

Study Finds 78 Southern Black Belt Counties Shifted Left After GOP Redistricting Push

2 articles · Updated · The Guardian · Jul 30

Summary

  • VoteHub found Republican map-drawing efforts after the Supreme Court’s April Callais ruling coincided with higher Black turnout and a leftward partisan shift in 77 of 78 Southern Black Belt counties.
  • States that voted after the ruling showed the clearest effect: in Louisiana, Black voters were 35.7% of the primary electorate and Black turnout hit 30.9%, 3.2 points above white voters.
  • Alabama posted some of the strongest gains, with Greene County topping 50% turnout and recording a 27.6-point positive turnout differential; several counties in the targeted 2nd District also surged.
  • Mississippi and North Carolina, which held primaries before Callais, saw majority-Black county turnout beat statewide averages by only 1.1 points on average, suggesting the redistricting fight itself helped drive mobilization.
  • The study comes as Republican-led legislatures in Louisiana, Florida, Tennessee and Alabama moved to redraw maps, while Mississippi’s governor has urged new lines before the midterms.

Insights

Will the sudden spike in civic engagement across the Black Belt permanently alter the landscape of future election maps?