Updated
Updated · HousingWire · Jul 28
U.S. New Home Sales Edge Up to 628,000 as High Rates Keep Permits Near Lows
Updated
Updated · HousingWire · Jul 28

U.S. New Home Sales Edge Up to 628,000 as High Rates Keep Permits Near Lows

3 articles · Updated · HousingWire · Jul 28

Summary

  • 628,000 annualized new home sales in June left the market essentially range-bound, up 1.6% from May but 5.6% below a year earlier.
  • High mortgage rates are the main drag: builders have been using profit margins to buy down borrowing costs below 6%, but those margins are shrinking as rates hit yearly highs.
  • 700,000 has repeatedly marked the top of the sales range and 600,000 the bottom for about a decade, leaving new-home demand near 2019 levels despite outperforming existing-home sales.
  • 120,000 completed homes for sale is a key pressure point for builders, and with inventory progress limited and confidence weak, they remain reluctant to issue more permits or ramp up construction.

Insights

How can the U.S. be short millions of homes while newly built houses sit empty and unsold across the country?
With nearly half of young adults trapped living with parents, will desperate builders' price cuts finally shatter the affordability barrier?
As unsold inventory piles up to alarming levels, are heavy builder incentives merely delaying an inevitable housing market crash?