Jaguars Face 8.5-Win Line After 13-4 Season and 8-Game Finish

1 articles · Updated · Fox News · Jul 25

Jacksonville enters the new season with an 8.5-win total despite going 13-4 last year, a sharp reset after an AFC South title and a 27-24 wild-card loss to Buffalo.
That lower line reflects a tougher schedule and skepticism about how repeatable the Jaguars' late surge was after they closed 2025 on an 8-game winning streak, with six of those wins coming against weaker opponents.
Trevor Lawrence remains central to the outlook after finishing sixth in passing yards and fifth in touchdown passes last season, though his 12 interceptions and middling QBR keep debate alive over his ceiling.
Roster turnover was limited, but Jacksonville lost Travis Etienne, Devin Lloyd and Greg Newsome while keeping much of a young core intact around Lawrence, Brian Thomas and two-way contributor Travis Hunter.
The betting view in the report leans away from the team total itself, suggesting Jacksonville should reach 7 wins but may struggle to find the extra 2 needed to clear the number.