Updated
Updated · CNBC · Jul 24
Lee Jae Myung Invokes Japan's 1990s Crash to Revise Housing Taxes as Seoul Prices Climb 10%
Updated
Updated · CNBC · Jul 24

Lee Jae Myung Invokes Japan's 1990s Crash to Revise Housing Taxes as Seoul Prices Climb 10%

3 articles · Updated · CNBC · Jul 24

Summary

  • Lee Jae Myung said South Korea must avoid Japan’s “lost decades” as he prepares property-tax revisions aimed at cooling an overheating housing market.
  • 75.8% of Korean household assets were held in real estate at end-March 2025, versus 24.2% in financial assets, underscoring why Lee wants to shift wealth away from housing.
  • Economists said the Japan comparison overstates the near-term risk because mortgage rules remain tight: Seoul loan-to-value ratios have fallen from as high as 80% to below 40%.
  • 90.14% household debt-to-GDP still leaves Korea exposed to higher rates and shocks, but analysts noted Seoul home prices are only about 10% above January 2022 levels while Busan has fallen to roughly 80%.

Insights

If strict mortgage rules prevent a Japan-style crash, what hidden economic trigger could still burst Korea's property bubble?
Could South Korea's push to deflate its housing bubble accidentally trigger a devastating stock market crisis instead?
Will strict new property taxes finally make Seoul housing affordable for millennials, or just freeze the market entirely?