Updated
Updated · TechCrunch · Jul 22
IBM Shares Plunge 25% After 42% Mainframe Sales Drop Cuts 2026 Forecast
Updated
Updated · TechCrunch · Jul 22

IBM Shares Plunge 25% After 42% Mainframe Sales Drop Cuts 2026 Forecast

3 articles · Updated · TechCrunch · Jul 22

Summary

  • IBM shares sank 25% after the company posted quarterly results below Wall Street expectations and reduced its full-year growth outlook.
  • A 42% drop in mainframe sales drove the miss, hitting IBM’s infrastructure unit and pressuring software revenue because the company says each $1 of mainframe hardware supports about $3 of software sales.
  • IBM reported $17.2 billion in revenue, roughly $2.2 billion in net income and nearly 58% gross margins, but those figures still fell short enough that management had warned investors in advance.
  • Arvind Krishna said tens of customers delayed mainframe purchases after 15% to 30% cost increases for other data-center gear and PCs diverted budgets, though he said some orders have already returned this quarter.
  • The setback shows how the AI hardware boom that had supported IBM’s stock under Krishna also raised component costs across enterprise tech, squeezing demand for its legacy cash-cow systems.

Insights

Can IBM's new AI coding tool offset its legacy mainframe decline and win back Wall Street's trust?
Amid a global chip shortage, is IBM's pivot to quantum computing and AI enough to survive the storm?