Polymarket Lifts Clarity Act Odds to 43% as Trump Backs Ethics Provision

3 articles · Updated · CoinDesk · Jul 21

Polymarket pricing for the Clarity Act becoming law in 2026 jumped to about 43% Monday from 32% Friday after reports Trump accepted an ethics provision that had stalled the bill.
The ethics fight had been the last major obstacle, centering on how much officials can profit from crypto while in office amid scrutiny of Trump’s memecoins and his family’s World Liberty Financial stake.
Democrats still have not seen the bill text, according to a source familiar with the matter, and neither the White House nor senators involved had publicly commented.
The measure would create the first comprehensive U.S. federal framework for digital assets, dividing oversight between the SEC and CFTC, with the Senate facing an early-August vote window.
Bitcoin traded near $66,300, up about 3%, while ether and XRP gained around 4%, though traders mostly tied the broader rally to strength in AI and semiconductor stocks.