Democrats Lead Republicans 48%-45% in Congress Poll as Trump Approval Sits at 37%
Updated
Updated · USA TODAY · Jul 18
Democrats Lead Republicans 48%-45% in Congress Poll as Trump Approval Sits at 37%
3 articles · Updated · USA TODAY · Jul 18
Summary
48% to 45% — a Washington Post-Ipsos poll conducted July 8-13 gives Democrats a 3-point edge over Republicans ahead of November's midterms.
53% to 45% among voters "absolutely certain to vote" — Democrats' lead widens to 8 points, with the poll finding Democrats are 10 points more likely than Republicans to say they will definitely vote.
37% approval for Trump in the same survey underscores the backdrop for the race, with his ratings pressured by concerns over the economy and the Iran war; an Economist/YouGov poll also put him at 37%.
2018 offers a benchmark: Democrats held a 10-point pre-midterm advantage before gaining 40 House seats, while this year's narrower margin meets structural hurdles including a two-seat GOP House edge, a 53-47 Senate majority and gerrymandering.