Updated
Updated · Kenyans.co.ke · Jul 1
Kenya Eurobonds Return 2% in June as Brent Falls Below $73 and Shilling Holds
Updated
Updated · Kenyans.co.ke · Jul 1

Kenya Eurobonds Return 2% in June as Brent Falls Below $73 and Shilling Holds

3 articles · Updated · Kenyans.co.ke · Jul 1

Summary

  • Kenya’s Eurobonds returned about 2% in June—roughly double the emerging-market average—making the country one of Africa’s best-performing debt markets as investors rotated into oil importers.
  • Brent crude fell to about $72.48 a barrel after a fragile US-Iran ceasefire, cutting Kenya’s fuel import bill and improving the inflation and external-financing outlook for the oil-importing economy.
  • The Kenyan shilling stayed broadly steady at 129.54 per dollar on June 29 versus 129.63 on June 25, helped by lower dollar demand for fuel imports and foreign-exchange reserves of $13.17 billion.
  • That marks a reversal from the Iran-Israel conflict, when investors favored oil exporters such as Nigeria; lower crude prices are now drawing flows toward Kenya and the DRC instead.
  • Risks remain because shipping through the Strait of Hormuz has not fully normalized, with security concerns and elevated war-risk insurance premiums still threatening oil-price volatility.

Insights

As investors favor Congo over Nigeria, is this a new economic order for Africa or just a temporary trade?
Is falling oil a lifeline for Kenya and Congo, or a trap if prices suddenly rebound?
Can the DRC leverage its critical minerals boom and new investor appeal to finally achieve lasting economic stability?