Updated
Updated · Mortgage Professional · Jun 23
New Zealand Employment Confidence Sinks 12.5 Points to Record-Low 83.1 as Fuel Shock Hits
Updated
Updated · Mortgage Professional · Jun 23

New Zealand Employment Confidence Sinks 12.5 Points to Record-Low 83.1 as Fuel Shock Hits

3 articles · Updated · Mortgage Professional · Jun 23

Summary

  • New Zealand’s Employment Confidence Index fell 12.5 points to 83.1 in the June quarter, its lowest reading since the survey began in 2004.
  • Iran conflict-driven fuel price spikes pushed job and income fears sharply higher, though the early-June survey timing means it likely captured peak anxiety before a US-Iran peace deal and later fuel-price declines.
  • A net 60% of respondents said jobs are hard to find, while expected job opportunities a year ahead fell to net negative 30%—near Global Financial Crisis lows.
  • Expected earnings growth dropped to a net 12%, the weakest on record, and only a net 3% reported higher earnings over the past year, down from 14% in March.
  • Westpac still sees a weakening backdrop, forecasting 1.4% economic growth in 2026 and unemployment peaking at 5.6% by year-end, with consumer confidence also at a three-year low.

Insights

Will the global job market ever recover, or has this crisis permanently altered the future of work?
How did one regional conflict threaten the entire global economy with stagflation and supply chain collapse?
Is the Middle East war a cover for corporations to permanently replace human jobs with AI?